SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Anderlecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Anderlecht |
26.53% ( -0.09) | 23.96% ( 0.14) | 49.5% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.92% ( -0.69) | 45.08% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.57% ( -0.67) | 67.43% ( 0.67) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -0.43) | 30.71% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.03% ( -0.51) | 66.97% ( 0.51) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( -0.29) | 18.29% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.63% ( -0.49) | 49.37% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 26.53% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.96% | 1-2 @ 9.57% ( -0) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.42% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.47% Total : 49.5% |
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