SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Sint-Truiden | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Mechelen | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Standard Liege | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Union SG | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Westerlo | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Charleroi | 4 | 0 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 39.26%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
36.47% ( 0.22) | 24.27% ( 0.12) | 39.26% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 60.4% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( -0.57) | 42.23% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.37% ( -0.57) | 64.63% ( 0.58) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.02% ( -0.14) | 22.99% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.22% ( -0.21) | 56.78% ( 0.22) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.41) | 21.57% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( -0.64) | 54.66% ( 0.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | Westerlo |
| 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( 0.15)2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 5.83% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 39.26% |
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