SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Mechelen | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | Union SG | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Leuven | 6 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Anderlecht | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Charleroi | 6 | 0 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Anderlecht |
34.88% ( 0.17) | 28.83% ( 0.07) | 36.29% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 45.33% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.74% ( -0.26) | 61.26% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.81% ( -0.19) | 81.18% ( 0.19) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.87% ( -0.02) | 33.13% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.27% ( -0.03) | 69.73% ( 0.02) |
| Anderlecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( -0.29) | 32.2% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( -0.33) | 68.69% ( 0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Anderlecht |
| 1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.72% 3-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.87% | 1-1 @ 13.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.82% | 0-1 @ 12.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.76% Total : 36.28% |
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