Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Anderlecht win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Anderlecht win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-0 (11.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.25) 
