SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Sint-Truiden | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 10 | Mechelen | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Standard Liege | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Cercle Brugge | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Kortrijk | 6 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | RFC Seraing | 6 | -8 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 53.13%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 23.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 0-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mechelen | Draw | RFC Seraing |
53.13% ( 1.9) | 23.31% ( -0.68) | 23.56% ( -1.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.68% ( 0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.13% ( 1.8) | 44.87% ( -1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.77% ( 1.71) | 67.23% ( -1.71) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( 1.38) | 16.85% ( -1.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.13% ( 2.4) | 46.86% ( -2.4) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( -0.06) | 33.03% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( -0.07) | 69.62% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mechelen | Draw | RFC Seraing |
| 1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.32) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.23)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.13)Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.13% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.37) 0-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.44)2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.31% | 0-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.5) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.56% |
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