Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.