Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 22.74% and a draw had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.27%) and 3-1 (6.84%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
