Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 56.46%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Mechelen win it was 2-1 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
