Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 57.13%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 22.55% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.16%) and 1-3 (6.9%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 2-1 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
