Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
Mechelen	Draw	Union SG
31.17% ( -0.38)	25.55% ( -0.13)	43.29% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.67% (

0.41)

49.33% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.62% (

0.36)

71.38% (

-0.36)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.05)

29.56% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.42% (

-0.07)

65.59% (

0.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

0.42)

22.71% (

-0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.63% (

0.62)

56.37% (

-0.62)

Score Analysis

Mechelen 31.17%

Union SG 43.29%

Draw 25.54%

Mechelen	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.17%	1-1 @ 12.12% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.29%