Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 46.89%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
