SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 45.68%. A win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (8.76%). The likeliest RFC Seraing win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
27.33% ( 0.62) | 26.99% ( 0.39) | 45.68% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.89% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.21% ( -1.08) | 56.79% ( 1.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.27% ( -0.88) | 77.73% ( 0.88) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.68% ( -0.08) | 36.32% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.9% ( -0.08) | 73.1% ( 0.08) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.2% ( -0.96) | 24.81% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.61% ( -1.36) | 59.39% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Sint-Truiden |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.89% Total : 27.33% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.77% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 12.56% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 8.76% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.12% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.68% |
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