SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 74.31%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for RFC Seraing had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.89%) and 0-3 (10.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.89%), while for a RFC Seraing win it was 1-0 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Union SG |
9.06% ( 0.05) | 16.62% ( 0.13) | 74.31% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 43.58% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.8% ( -0.41) | 43.2% ( 0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.4% ( -0.41) | 65.6% ( 0.41) |
| RFC Seraing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.45% ( -0.15) | 51.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.29% ( -0.1) | 85.71% ( 0.11) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.95% ( -0.15) | 10.05% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.87% ( -0.35) | 33.13% ( 0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| RFC Seraing | Draw | Union SG |
| 1-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 9.06% | 1-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 16.62% | 0-2 @ 13.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 10.47% ( -0.02)1-2 @ 9.06% ( 0)1-3 @ 6.94% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 6.02% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.99% ( -0.05)0-5 @ 2.77% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-5 @ 1.83% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 74.3% |
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