SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sint-Truiden win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sint-Truiden win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sint-Truiden would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
45.99% ( -0.04) | 24.95% ( -0) | 29.07% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.28% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.03) | 47.72% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.03) | 69.91% ( -0.03) |
| Sint-Truiden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( -0) | 20.79% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( -0.01) | 53.45% ( 0.01) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.8% ( 0.05) | 30.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.64% ( 0.05) | 66.36% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sint-Truiden | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.91% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.99% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 29.07% |
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