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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 5
May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK
Edmond Machtens-Stadion

RWDM
1 - 3
Charleroi

Gueye (63')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Dari (7'), Dragsnes (35'), Guiagon (39')
Andreou (87')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between RWD Molenbeek and Charleroi.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RWDM 0-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
RWD MolenbeekDrawCharleroi
31.16% (0.558 0.56) 24.91% (-0.142 -0.14) 43.93% (-0.416 -0.42)
Both teams to score 56.57% (0.753 0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (0.859 0.86)46.55% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.17% (0.802 0.8)68.83% (-0.80200000000001 -0.8)
RWD Molenbeek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.82% (0.80199999999999 0.8)28.18% (-0.802 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.13% (1.004 1)63.87% (-1.004 -1)
Charleroi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.77% (0.172 0.17)21.23% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.87% (0.263 0.26)54.13% (-0.263 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    RWD Molenbeek 31.16%
    Charleroi 43.93%
    Draw 24.91%
RWD MolenbeekDrawCharleroi
1-0 @ 7.58% (-0.104 -0.1)
2-1 @ 7.44% (0.103 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.14% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 31.16%
1-1 @ 11.74% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.98% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.91%
0-1 @ 9.27% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.18% (-0.187 -0.19)
1-3 @ 4.7% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.98% (0.071 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.82% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.15% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 43.93%

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Form Guide
Last Game: RWDM 0-1 Kortrijk
Sunday, April 28 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kortrijk 2-4 RWDM
Sunday, April 21 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 3-1 Eupen
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 0-0 RWDM
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Cercle Brugge 4-0 RWDM
Sunday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 0-3 Anderlecht
Saturday, March 9 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 1-2 Charleroi
Friday, April 26 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 1-0 Eupen
Sunday, April 21 at 6.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Kortrijk 1-2 Charleroi
Sunday, April 14 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 0-0 RWDM
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 5-0 Charleroi
Sunday, March 17 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Charleroi 0-0 Cercle Brugge
Saturday, March 9 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League


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