SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 24.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Charleroi in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charleroi | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
51.68% ( 0.14) | 23.47% ( -0.05) | 24.85% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.68% ( 0.11) | 44.31% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.31% ( 0.11) | 66.69% ( -0.11) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.82% ( 0.09) | 17.18% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.56% ( 0.16) | 47.43% ( -0.17) |
| RWD Molenbeek Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.35% ( -0.02) | 31.64% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.95% ( -0.02) | 68.05% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charleroi | Draw | RWD Molenbeek |
| 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 51.68% | 1-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 24.85% |
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