SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Charleroi had a probability of 17.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Charleroi win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
61.92% ( -1.71) | 20.51% ( 0.63) | 17.57% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.58% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.56% ( -0.91) | 40.44% ( 0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.18% ( -0.95) | 62.81% ( 0.94) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( -0.75) | 12.55% ( 0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.41% ( -1.59) | 38.59% ( 1.59) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.56% ( 0.72) | 36.44% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.77% ( 0.72) | 73.23% ( -0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gent | Draw | Charleroi |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.32)4-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.13)5-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.61% Total : 61.92% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.51% | 1-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.18)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.47% Total : 17.57% |
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