SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kortrijk | Draw | Charleroi |
30.84% ( 0.24) | 25.73% ( -0.08) | 43.42% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.77% ( 0.44) | 50.23% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.82% ( 0.39) | 72.18% ( -0.4) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.77% ( 0.39) | 30.23% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.61% ( 0.47) | 66.39% ( -0.47) |
| Charleroi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( 0.12) | 23.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.16% ( 0.17) | 56.84% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kortrijk | Draw | Charleroi |
| 1-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.42% |
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