Molenbeek have made many intelligent moves, adding some experienced top-flight players, and those additions, along with a solid defensive shape, should make them a difficult side to break down this season.
However, Genk have plenty of attacking pieces to count upon, and their continuity and quality should be able to find a breakthrough eventually in a stadium which can be intimidating for visiting teams.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.
-0.07) 
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