SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Royal Antwerp win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Genk had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Royal Antwerp win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Genk win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Royal Antwerp would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Genk |
49.13% ( 1.21) | 25.01% ( -0.01) | 25.85% ( -1.2) |
| Both teams to score 52.61% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.93% ( -0.8) | 50.06% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.96% ( -0.72) | 72.04% ( 0.72) |
| Royal Antwerp Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.6% ( 0.19) | 20.39% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.17% ( 0.3) | 52.82% ( -0.31) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( -1.4) | 33.9% ( 1.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.42% ( -1.54) | 70.57% ( 1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Royal Antwerp | Draw | Genk |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.42) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.38)3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.23)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.13% | 1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.18)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.85% |
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