Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 49.24%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.82%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Genk	Draw	Union SG
49.24% ( -0.37)	22.87% ( -0.03)	27.89% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 61.58% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.96% (

0.45)

39.04% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.64% (

0.48)

61.36% (

-0.48)

Genk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.89% (

0.04)

16.11% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.47% (

0.07)

45.52% (

-0.07)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41% (

0.51)

26.59% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18% (

0.67)

61.81% (

-0.67)

Score Analysis

Genk 49.24%

Union SG 27.89%

Draw 22.87%

Genk	Draw	Union SG
2-1 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.82% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.6% Total : 49.24%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.87%	1-2 @ 6.86% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.77% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 27.89%