SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Genk had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
43.86% ( -0.16) | 23.81% ( -0.01) | 32.32% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 60.95% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.94% ( 0.09) | 41.05% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.55% ( 0.09) | 63.44% ( -0.09) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.01% ( -0.03) | 18.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.46% ( -0.05) | 50.54% ( 0.05) |
| Genk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.14) | 24.76% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.67% ( 0.2) | 59.33% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Union SG | Draw | Genk |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.7% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.81% | 1-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.56% 0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.32% |
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