Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 17.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 1-0 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.