Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
