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Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 8, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
CB

Lazio
2 - 2
Brugge

Correa (12'), Immobile (27' pen.)
Hoedt (36'), Marusic (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Vormer (15'), Vanaken (76')
Sobol (2')
Sobol (39')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 31.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawClub Brugge
40.01%28.17%31.82%
Both teams to score 46.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.68%59.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.28%79.72%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01%28.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12%64.88%
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77%34.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.08%70.92%
Score Analysis
    Lazio 40%
    Club Brugge 31.82%
    Draw 28.17%
LazioDrawClub Brugge
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 8.16%
2-0 @ 7.61%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-0 @ 3.14%
3-2 @ 1.81%
4-1 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 40%
1-1 @ 13.17%
0-0 @ 9.92%
2-2 @ 4.37%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.17%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.7%
1-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.04%
2-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 31.82%

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