Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 58.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 18.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Mechelen win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
