Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.34%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 36.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.36%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.