SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Lech Poznan had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Lech Poznan win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 35.96% | 26.06% | 37.98% |
| Both teams to score 53.99% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.53% | 50.46% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.6% | 72.39% |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.9% | 27.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.52% | 62.47% |
| Standard Liege Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% | 25.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.06% | 60.94% |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Standard Liege |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 5.99% 3-1 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.05% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.03% 2-2 @ 5.46% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 8.36% 0-2 @ 6.4% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.45% 1-4 @ 1.27% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.98% |
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