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SL
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 10, 2020 at 5.55pm UK
Stade Maurice Dufrasne
B

Standard Liege
2 - 2
Benfica

Raskin (12'), Tapsoba (60')
Cimirot (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Everton (16'), Pizzi (67' pen.)
Ferreira (53'), Cervi (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Standard LiegeDrawBenfica
33.52%26.31%40.17%
Both teams to score 52.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.18%51.82%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.42%73.58%
Standard Liege Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75%29.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79%65.2%
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63%25.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83%60.17%
Score Analysis
    Standard Liege 33.52%
    Benfica 40.17%
    Draw 26.3%
Standard LiegeDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 7.69%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 3.15%
3-0 @ 2.3%
3-2 @ 2.16%
4-1 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 33.52%
1-1 @ 12.51%
0-0 @ 7.42%
2-2 @ 5.27%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.3%
0-1 @ 10.17%
1-2 @ 8.58%
0-2 @ 6.98%
1-3 @ 3.92%
0-3 @ 3.19%
2-3 @ 2.41%
1-4 @ 1.35%
0-4 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 40.17%

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