Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Genk had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Genk win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.
