Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 12.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.99%) and 1-3 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 2-1 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.