Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genk win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Beerschot Wilrijk had a probability of 12.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genk win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.32%) and 3-1 (8.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.61%), while for a Beerschot Wilrijk win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genk would win this match.