Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 48.42%. A win for Charleroi had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.77%) and 2-0 (6.42%). The likeliest Charleroi win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
