Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 69.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Waasland-Beveren had a probability of 11.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Waasland-Beveren win it was 0-1 (4.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Standard Liege would win this match.