SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 53.79%. A win for Kortrijk had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 1-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Kortrijk win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Kortrijk |
53.79% ( 0.13) | 21.16% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 65.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.78% ( -0.01) | 33.22% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.02% ( -0.02) | 54.98% ( 0.02) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.42% ( 0.03) | 12.57% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.35% ( 0.07) | 38.65% ( -0.07) |
| Kortrijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.08) | 25.51% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.63% ( -0.12) | 60.37% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Kortrijk |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.31% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 53.79% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0) 2-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.21% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 6.21% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 25.05% |
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