SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
40.09% ( -0.03) | 23.93% ( 0.02) | 35.97% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.59% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.35% ( -0.1) | 40.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.96% ( -0.1) | 63.04% ( 0.1) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.06) | 20.5% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.02% ( -0.09) | 52.98% ( 0.09) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( -0.04) | 22.53% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.89% ( -0.06) | 56.11% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.92% Total : 40.09% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.97% |
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