SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.29%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Westerlo | Draw | Union SG |
22.52% ( -0.21) | 22.19% ( 0.05) | 55.29% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.15% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.02% ( -0.48) | 40.98% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.63% ( -0.49) | 63.37% ( 0.49) |
| Westerlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.45) | 31.8% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.77% ( -0.52) | 68.23% ( 0.52) |
| Union SG Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( -0.12) | 14.74% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.05% ( -0.22) | 42.95% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Westerlo | Draw | Union SG |
| 2-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 22.52% | 1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 55.29% |
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