Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 39

May 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Charleroi
3 - 2
Mechelen

Nkuba (34'), Issouf Bayo (53', 71')
Heymans (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Engvall (21', 74')

Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Charleroi and Mechelen.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charleroi win with a probability of 49.64%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charleroi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charleroi would win this match.

Result
Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
49.64% ( -0.04)	23.35% ( -0)	27% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 59.11% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

0.05)

41.97% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

0.05)

64.37% (

-0.05)

Charleroi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

17.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.78% (

0.01)

47.22% (

-0.01)

Mechelen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.27% (

0.06)

28.73% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43% (

0.07)

64.57% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Charleroi 49.65%

Mechelen 27%

Draw 23.35%

Charleroi	Draw	Mechelen
2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.49% 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0) Other @ 4.04% Total : 49.65%	1-1 @ 10.81% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 27%