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Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Oct 9, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Mineirão
C

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 1
Ceara

Hulk (32', 45+10' pen.), Costa (87')
Jair (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lacerda (90+2')
da Silva de Souza (30'), Messias (45+8'), Pacheco (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.43%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 16.73%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawCeara
58.43%24.84%16.73%
Both teams to score 41.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.1%58.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.61%79.4%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.86%20.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.58%52.42%
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.52%48.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.42%83.58%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 58.42%
    Ceara 16.73%
    Draw 24.83%
Atletico MineiroDrawCeara
1-0 @ 15.64%
2-0 @ 12.53%
2-1 @ 9.08%
3-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 4.85%
4-0 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.76%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 58.42%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 9.76%
2-2 @ 3.29%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.07%
1-2 @ 4.1%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 16.73%

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