Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 26.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
