Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
Gremio

Zaracho (12'), Vargas (75' pen.)
Zaracho (45+3'), Tche (50'), Fernandez (53'), Mariano (78'), Rodrigues de Souza (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Campaz (56')
Silva (36'), Borja (38'), Geromel (58'), Campaz (73'), Costa (81'), Rafinha (90+5')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 14.78%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.6%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Gremio
63.24%	21.98%	14.78%

Both teams to score 44.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.28%

51.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.5%

73.49%

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.22%

15.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.08%

44.91%

Gremio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.15%

46.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.63%

82.37%

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 63.23%

Gremio 14.78%

Draw 21.98%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Gremio
1-0 @ 13.64% 2-0 @ 12.6% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 7.76% 3-1 @ 5.88% 4-0 @ 3.58% 4-1 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 2.23% 5-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 1.03% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.92% Total : 63.23%	1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 7.39% 2-2 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.98%	0-1 @ 5.61% 1-2 @ 3.93% 0-2 @ 2.13% 1-3 @ 0.99% 2-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.21% Total : 14.78%