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Brasileiro | Gameweek 8
Jul 1, 2021 at 11pm UK
Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
4 - 1
Atletico GO

Zaracho (27', 37'), Fernandez (42', 89')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Freitas (45+1')
Natanael (39'), Janderson (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 58.21%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAtletico Goianiense
58.21%23.98%17.81%
Both teams to score 45.23%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.51%54.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.15%75.84%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.47%18.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23%49.76%
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.52%44.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.49%80.51%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 58.21%
    Atletico Goianiense 17.81%
    Draw 23.97%
Atletico MineiroDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 13.89%
2-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.33%
4-0 @ 2.77%
4-1 @ 2.25%
3-2 @ 2.16%
5-0 @ 0.94%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 58.21%
1-1 @ 11.25%
0-0 @ 8.24%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.97%
0-1 @ 6.68%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.23%
2-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 17.81%

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