Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
