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Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
2 - 1
Atletico GO

Babi (43'), Christian (71')
Terans (35'), Babi (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Baralhas (13')
Paulo (55'), Roberto (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 26.45%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.13%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for an Atletico Goianiense win it was 0-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
45.64%27.9%26.45%
Both teams to score 44.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.57%60.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.43%80.56%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.52%26.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.33%61.66%
Atletico Goianiense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94%39.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22%75.78%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 45.64%
    Atletico Goianiense 26.45%
    Draw 27.9%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawAtletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 13.74%
2-0 @ 9.13%
2-1 @ 8.58%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-1 @ 3.8%
3-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34%
4-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 12.92%
0-0 @ 10.34%
2-2 @ 4.04%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 9.72%
1-2 @ 6.07%
0-2 @ 4.57%
1-3 @ 1.9%
0-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 26.45%

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