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Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jun 13, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mineirão
SP

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
Sao Paulo

Jair (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Alves (41')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 48.06%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 26.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
48.06%25.64%26.3%
Both teams to score 51.07%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.72%52.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.02%73.98%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.24%21.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.05%54.95%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.27%34.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.54%71.45%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 48.05%
    Sao Paulo 26.3%
    Draw 25.63%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.29%
2-0 @ 8.79%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.8%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 48.05%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 7.56%
2-2 @ 4.92%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 7.99%
1-2 @ 6.45%
0-2 @ 4.23%
1-3 @ 2.27%
2-3 @ 1.73%
0-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 26.3%

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