SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 12.73%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.82%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Bragantino |
| 67.24% | 20.03% | 12.73% |
| Both teams to score 45.31% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% | 48.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.79% | 70.21% |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.66% | 13.34% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.79% | 40.21% |
| Bragantino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.28% | 47.72% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.98% | 83.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Bragantino |
| 2-0 @ 12.91% 1-0 @ 12.82% 2-1 @ 9.56% 3-0 @ 8.67% 3-1 @ 6.42% 4-0 @ 4.37% 4-1 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.37% 5-0 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.62% Total : 67.23% | 1-1 @ 9.49% 0-0 @ 6.36% 2-2 @ 3.54% Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.03% | 0-1 @ 4.71% 1-2 @ 3.51% 0-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 2.77% Total : 12.73% |
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