Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
