Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Bragantino had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.01%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Bragantino win was 1-0 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
