Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 71.67%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Santos had a probability of 10.16%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.94%) and 3-0 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Santos win it was 0-1 (4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.
