Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metropolitanos win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metropolitanos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.03%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
