Athletico PR
1 - 0
Melgar

Kayzer (43')
Heleno (36'), Vitinho (58'), Cittadini (88'), Santos (89')
Heleno (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

De Dios Orzan (47'), Cuesta (61')
De Dios Orzan (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Athletico Paranaense and Melgar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 45%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Melgar win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Melgar
45%	23.16%	31.84%

Both teams to score 63.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.93%

38.07%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.66%

60.34%

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.66%

17.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.29%

47.71%

Melgar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.39%

23.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.31%

57.69%

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 45%

Melgar 31.84%

Draw 23.15%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Melgar
2-1 @ 9.07% 1-0 @ 7.17% 2-0 @ 6.28% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-2 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.32% 4-2 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.61% Other @ 4.07% Total : 45%	1-1 @ 10.35% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 4.09% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.15%	1-2 @ 7.47% 0-1 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 4.26% 1-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.84%