Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Juventude had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Juventude win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.
